
HCI Group’s third quarter saw year-over-year revenue growth, though sales were below Wall Street’s expectations. Management attributed the quarter’s strong profit performance to operational leverage within its insurance business, a lower loss ratio, and disciplined expense management. Chief Operating Officer Karin Coleman highlighted favorable weather conditions in Florida, which contributed to a 22% loss ratio and improved combined ratio, while also referencing continued growth in the company’s real estate and technology segments. Management also pointed to the successful addition of new tenants at its Greenleaf Capital properties and the onboarding of a fifth carrier to the Exzeo insurance platform as meaningful operational achievements.
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HCI Group (HCI) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $216.4 million vs analyst estimates of $224.7 million (23.4% year-on-year growth, 3.7% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $4.90 vs analyst estimates of $2.81 (74.1% beat)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $90.6 million (41.9% margin, 543% year-on-year growth)
- Operating Margin: 41.9%, up from 8% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $2.46 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From HCI Group’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Amir (Oppenheimer) asked about the breakdown and expected average size of policies assumed from Citizens. COO Karin Coleman detailed that 47,000 policies were assumed in October, with distribution across Homeowners Choice, Tailrow, and TypTap, and clarified the average premium size.
- Amir (Oppenheimer) inquired about the use of surplus capital and potential for aggressive state expansion or M&A. CFO Mark Harmsworth emphasized a strong capital position and available surplus, suggesting continued growth but did not provide specifics on acquisitions.
- Mark Hughes (Truist) questioned why HCI chose not to participate in the December Citizens takeout. CEO Paresh Patel responded that shrinking policy availability at Citizens and better opportunities elsewhere led to the decision to focus on other growth avenues.
- Mark Hughes (Truist) asked about the sustainability of lower operating expenses and whether there were any unusual factors in the quarter. Harmsworth attributed expense control to operational leverage, particularly through technology, without any one-off impacts.
- Mark Hughes (Truist) sought clarity on how Exzeo’s IPO would affect earnings calculations going forward. Harmsworth explained the accounting for minority interest, noting a modest impact on diluted earnings per share due to the IPO.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) HCI’s ability to further scale its insurance portfolio through additional policy assumptions and organic growth, (2) the pace of Exzeo’s carrier onboarding and technology platform adoption, and (3) the utilization of expanded credit lines and capital from the Exzeo IPO to fund targeted expansion. Execution on these priorities will be important for tracking the company’s strategic progress.
HCI Group currently trades at $189.35, down from $195.30 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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