As Winter Storm Fern barrels toward the Northeast, New York City is bracing for its most significant snowfall in years, and prediction markets are reflecting the high stakes. On Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated exchange, traders have aggressively bid up the probability of a major event, with the consensus now pointing toward a heavy accumulation that could [...]
With the March 31 resolution date fast approaching, traders on decentralized prediction platforms are locked in a high-stakes debate over the future of the "Board of Peace" (BoP). As of January 24, 2026, the market for the new global conflict-resolution body has become a focal point for geopolitical speculators, with Russia currently sitting at a [...]
As of January 24, 2026, the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East is being distilled into a single, high-stakes number on the world’s leading prediction markets. Traders on Polymarket are currently pricing in a 21% probability that Ali Khamenei will be out as the Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28, 2026. This surge in [...]
As the January 31 deadline for federal funding rapidly approaches, the high-stakes political drama usually associated with Capitol Hill budget battles appears to be fizzling out—at least according to the collective intelligence of the world’s most active traders. On the leading decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown has plummeted to [...]
As of January 24, 2026, the geopolitical landscape has been rocked by a sudden and intense focus on the world's largest island. What was once dismissed as a peripheral diplomatic curiosity has transformed into one of the most liquid and debated markets in the prediction space. Traders are currently grappling with the nuances of "ownership" [...]
As January 2026 enters its final week, the digital landscape of prediction markets is flashing a warning sign that global intelligence communities and defense analysts are watching closely. On Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, the collective "wisdom of the crowd" is currently pricing in a significant possibility of a direct United States military strike on [...]
With the first Federal Reserve meeting of 2026 just days away, prediction markets have reached a state of near-total consensus. Traders are placing massive bets that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will opt to keep interest rates steady at its January 27–28 meeting, halting the cycle of rate cuts that defined the latter half [...]
The 98th Academy Awards race has officially entered its most volatile phase following the announcement of the official nominations today, January 24, 2026. In the immediate wake of the Academy's reveal, prediction markets have reacted with lightning speed, cementing a clear hierarchy that suggests a potential landslide victory for one of the year’s most ambitious [...]
As the NFL postseason reaches its fever pitch, the eyes of the financial and sporting worlds are locked on a high-stakes showdown in the Pacific Northwest. With the NFC Championship game scheduled for tomorrow, January 25, 2026, prediction markets have transformed a regional rivalry into a global betting phenomenon. The race for the Super Bowl [...]
The race to lead the world’s most powerful central bank has reached a fever pitch in prediction markets, with a decisive shift in sentiment favoring Wall Street veteran Rick Rieder. As of January 24, 2026, Rieder, the Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: BLK), has emerged as the clear frontrunner [...]
The topic I’d like to discuss today is how to build a real estate investment trust “monopoly.” While just a game, it teaches us something important – properties that produce superior returns and see consistent “demand” are among the best you can own.
